The Serby Mock 2.0 — no trades — gives the Jets their quarterback of the future and Daniel Jones a legitimate go-to receiver.
In addition to picks 1-15, we throw a dart at the Jets’ 23rd pick, a defender they will need to hound Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa and Bill Belichick’s yet-to-be identified quarterback.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson)
Urban renewal (sorry, couldn’t help myself) in Jacksonville indeed, under new coach Urban Meyer. There’ll be growing pains … but there’ll be plenty of growth, too. The left labrum repair Lawrence has scheduled? He throws with his right arm and is expected to be ready for training camp. Rock star quarterback.
2. New York Jets: Zach Wilson (QB, BYU)
Moment of truth for GM Joe Douglas. His best play would be parlaying his bounty of premium draft picks, at least three of his four No. 1’s this year and next to land Deshaun Watson. In the meantime, if he and new coach Robert Saleh are not sold on staying with Sam Darnold, they should publicly rave about him in an attempt to jack up his value so some quarterback-desperate franchise would be willing to fork over a late first-rounder. As long as they fall in love with one of the quarterbacks not named Trevor Lawrence. We’ll stick here with the fearless gunslinger who is more accurate than Darnold. And if you can reset the quarterback financial clock, you do it if all things are equal.
3. Dolphins: Ja’Marr Chase (WR, LSU)
GM Chris Grier should begin the smokescreening that he is infatuated with OT Penei Sewell, which he should be. But the Fish selected LT Austin Jackson in the first round a year ago, and though they could move him to the right side, it’s critical to find out whether Tua can be the answer to South Beach’s forever post-Dan Marino prayers. Burrow’s LSU partner in crime opens the offense up for WR DeVante Parker, TE Mike Gesicki and facilitates Tua’s growth. He’s a bigger (6-foot-1, 200 pounds) and better version of DaVonta Smith.
4. Atlanta Falcons: Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)
Owner Arthur Blank can’t be happy with a floundering pass rush that registered just 29 sacks. But though Matt Ryan has plenty of football left, he turns 36 in May, and unless he adopts Tom Brady’s diet, you can never identify your QB of the future too soon. And I doubt coach Arthur Smith would want an enticing prospect like this to fall into Matt Rhule’s NFC South hands.
5. Cincinnati Bengals: Penei Sewell (OT, Oregon)
QB Joe Burrow was battered and beaten (32 sacks in 11 games) in his rookie season, which ended in Week 11 (torn left ACL and MCL, partial tears to his PCL). This isn’t Anthony Munoz, but Sewell is 330 pounds and exactly what new O-line coach Frank Pollack ordered.
6. Philadelphia Eagles: Kyle Pitts (TE, Florida)
Carson Wentz is on his way out, and it appears that TE Zach Ertz is as well, so GM Howie Roseman gets new coach Nick Sirianni and QB Jalen Hurts a 6-foot-6, 245-pound matchup nightmare who has drawn comparisons to Darren Waller as a sidekick to TE Dallas Goedert. Smith is a possibility, but remember, Roseman used a No. 1 last year on WR Jalen Reagor.
7. Detroit Lions: DeVonta Smith (WR, Alabama)
Apparently new coach Dan Campbell isn’t only looking for a few good men, he’s looking for guys who will bite kneecaps, so he’ll be tempted by LB Micah Parsons to upgrade a defense that set franchise records for points (519) and yards (6,716) allowed in a single season. But QB Jared Goff needs someone to throw to, with Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones set to test free agency. Check out the Heisman Trophy winner’s electric national championship highlights against Ohio State. He just needs to put more meat on his 175-pound bones.
8. Carolina Panthers: Trey Lance (QB, North Dakota State)
Rhule was in on Matthew Stafford as he eyes a future dual-threat replacement for Teddy Bridgewater. Lance is raw but has good size (6-foot-3, 221 pounds) and deep-ball accuracy.
9. Denver Broncos: Caleb Farley (CB, Virginia Tech)
Coach Vic Fangio could use the young Champ Bailey in a division with Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert (and Derek Carr, if Jon Gruden doesn’t trade him), but a big stud corner following the release of disappointment A.J.Bouye will suffice.
10. Dallas Cowboys: Patrick Surtain II (CB, Alabama)
Chidobe Awuzie and Jordan Lewis are free agents, so defensive coordinator Dan Quinn will welcome a big ’Bama bookend for Trevon Diggs.
11. New York Giants: Jaylen Waddle (WR, Alabama)
It is imperative that GM Dave Gettleman gives Daniel Jones (11 TD passes) a dynamic playmaker who would juice coordinator Jason Garrett’s anemic offense (31st in yards and points) and look markedly different with the return of Saquon Barkley. Waddle is not the biggest target (5-foot-10, 182), but he plays bigger, and Golden Tate turns 33 in August.
12. San Francisco 49ers: Rashawn Slater ( OL, Northwestern)
LT will be a major hole if Trent Williams, who cannot be franchise-tagged, leaves in free agency. Here’s a guy who can play all the OL positions. Alabama QB Mac Jones could tempt Mike Shanahan and John Lynch if they don’t trade for Darnold and are ready to move on from Jimmy Garoppolo sooner rather than later.
13. Los Angeles Chargers: Christian Darrisaw (OT, Virginia Tech)
A three-year starter who has will be an upgrade over Sam Tevi and Trey Pipkins, and can be the blindside protector for Justin Herbert for the next decade.
14. Minnesota Vikings: Micah Parsons (LB, Penn State)
The value is too good for coach Mike Zimmer to pass up, especially if unsung LB Eric Wilson leaves in free agency. The 6-foot-3, 245-pound Parsons can chase down RBs Aaron Jones, D’Andre Swift and David Montgomery and give the Purple People Eaters some much-needed pass rush as well.
15. New England Patriots: Jaycee Horn (CB, South Carolina)
Bill Belichick will probably trade down, but let’s give him a 6-foot-1, 200-pound replacement for whenever Stephon Gilmore leaves. The son of former Saints WR Joe Horn, who once pulled a cell phone from underneath the padding around the goalpost and made a call. Memo to Jaycee: Belichick wouldn’t approve.
23. New York Jets Gregory Rousseau (DE, Miami)
Coach Robert Saleh can’t summon the New York Sack Machine, but could land this 6-foot-7, 253-pounder, who was a wide receiver and safety until his senior year of high school. Could easily go in the top 15. Saleh loves those long, rangy defenders (Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner) from his 49ers days.