February 25, 2021

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Risky Business: Week 11

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Risky Business: Week 11



Risky Business: Week 11
Aaron Schatz
23 Nov 2020, 11:45am

Aaron Rodgers

From our sister company, EdjSports: The cost of Aaron Rodgers’ decisions to spike the ball twice on his final fourth-quarter drive, and the value of having the option to run an additional play in the series.

1
This Analysis Seems Incomplete

This analysis seems to be working from the assumption that the Packers spiked the ball when they could have chosen to run a play starting from the same time on the game clock.  I don’t believe that’s true.  To run a first down play would require time to call the play, get everyone in position, assign protections, etc.  I believe the proper comparison would be 2nd and 10 after the spike versus 1st and 10 some time later (5-10 secs, maybe?).  It still may be sub-optimal, but the comparison would be more meaningful.

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/extra-points/2020/risky-business-week-11

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