Risky Business: Week 7
26 Oct 2020, 11:27am
Breaking down the end of the Atlanta-Detroit game, why Detroit allowed the Falcons to score, and why it cost Atlanta the game.
Amendola’s penalty costing 9% is mentioned. What was the effect of Atlanta’s declined penalty on the XP try?
Don’t quite get the question. The penalty was declined so it had no effect. It wasn’t enforced on the next play because there was no next play.
Probably just as simple as
W% DET w/o penalty = odds of a 48 yard FG make
W% DET w/penalty = odds of a 43 yard FG make
Had Prater missed it, there would have been a re-do. It’s trivia, but I was curious what the GWC penalty was for that illegal formation (were they head-up on the LS?)
Because a failed try goes to OT, the penalty would be worth half the difference in conversion likelihood, right? (They lose all makes, and ~50% of all misses)
Ah, right – need to factor in OT.